Tuesday, 26 August 2014
Independent, defenceless and broke
Calton listened to last night's debate rammy on the radio while simultaneously trying to follow it on twitter. Not being very good at multi-tasking, he therefore missed some of the finer points of the argument but he couldn't help noticing the persistent use of the phrase "sovereign will of the Scottish people" and the word "mandate" by Alex Salmond. The First Minister is obviously trying to strengthen his negotiating hand on the currency union he so desires if there is a yes vote. He was also very clear that, if he doesn't get a currency union, he will walk away from Scotland's share of the UK's debt. Now, turning his argument on its head, if an independent Scotland were to refuse to take a share of the debt, what's to stop the rUK hanging on to all the assets? The roar of RAF Typhoons as they pass overhead on their way south over the border would be matched by the cheers from the workforce at Portsmouth and the corresponding wails from Rosyth. Starting life as an independent country with no debt may seem like an attractive option but we would also have no air force, no navy, no embassies, no central bank and just you try getting credit without a credit (i.e. debt) history! Salmond managed to score points off Darling on child poverty but he would have little chance of making a better fist of it in an indy Scotland with no money. In terms of shouting down his opponent, Alex won last night's debate but in terms of providing real and realistic answers, he lost.
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Mr Salmond probably knows but didn't say that countries applying to join the EU have to satisfy the "Copenhagen Criteria" to be accepted. One of these is acceptance of the euro currency. So, either he is pulling everybody's leg on the currency issue or he is no better informed than the average Westminster politician. Of course, nobody in their right mind would want to join the euro now and it would be nice for him to be able to hide behind the skirts of the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street but if he wants to join the EU as a grown-up, real nation then accept the euro, he must. There would be flexibility on timing but that would only be a postponed economic death sentence.
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